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Winds of Change Newsletter, September 2008 See sidebar for table of contents
Global Climate Change Effects on World Economy Will Be Greater Than Both
World Wars, Great Depression Combined
by Mel Tyree
According to Sir Nicholas Sterns The Economics of
Climate Change (2006), if humanity doesnt stabilize and
significantly reduce its greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions within the next
10 to 20 years, the economic effects on the worlds economy will be
greater than the cost of the 20th centurys world
wars and the Great Depression combined.
Those expensive consequences are already apparent. For
example, the Alaskan communities of Shishmaref and Kivalina must be
relocated within the next decade or so, or rising sea levels and coastal
erosion caused by climate change will destroy them. The U.S. Army Corps
of Engineers estimates that cost at up to $200 million.
Estimates of 21st century
sea-level rise range between one and six feet, depending on how soon and
how much we reduce our GHG emissions.
Now, if it may cost $200 million to move two small
communities, imagine how much it would cost to relocate residents of New
York City or Miami, if we dont make
radical GHG emission reductions.
A June 2008 study released by the National Oceanographic
and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) titled Weather and Climate
Extremes in a Changing Climate noted that the erratic and heavy
precipitation events we are now seeing can be attributed to
human-induced warming. This conclusion seems consistent with the storms
that caused the recent 500-year flooding in the Midwest.
According to NOAA, in June 2008, over 1,100 daily
precipitation records were set in the Midwest. NOAA also noted that
Midwest two- and four-day precipitation totals represented a 1,000-year
event. The resulting flood caused nearly $1 billion in losses to Cedar
Rapids, Iowa, alone.
The conclusion of many studies over the past few years
is that the longer we delay addressing GHG emission reduction, the more
damaging and costly fires, floods, droughts and storms will become. We
should pay attention to them.
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